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  Vol. 250 No. 19, November 18, 1983 TABLE OF CONTENTS
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Estimates of Physician Requirements for 1990 for the Specialties of Neurology, Anesthesiology, Nuclear Medicine, Pathology, Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, and Radiology

A Further Application of the GMENAC Methodology

Marjorie A. Bowman, MD, MPA; Jerald M. Katzoff; Louis P. Garrison, Jr, PhD; John Wills, PhD

JAMA. 1983;250(19):2623-2627.


Abstract

The Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee (GMENAC) adjusted needs-based model for determining physician requirements was applied to the specialties of anesthesiology, neurology, nuclear medicine, pathology, physical medicine and rehabilitation, and radiology, which had not been completed at the time of the original GMENAC final report. Physical medicine and rehabilitation continues to be projected as a shortage specialty; anesthesiology is in near balance. Neurology and pathology are no longer projected to be specialties of oversupply, but rather to be in near balance. Diagnostic radiology continues to be projected as a specialty of oversupply; therapeutic radiology is projected to be in near balance, as is nuclear medicine. The GMENAC aggregate-requirements estimates are thus revised upward from 466,000 to 473,000 full-time equivalent physicians for 1990, reducing the projected surplus from 15.0% to 13.3%.

(JAMA 1983;250:2623-2627)



Author Affiliations

From the Department of Continuing Medical Education, Georgetown University Medical Center (Dr Bowman); the Office of Data Analysis and Special Projects, Health Resources and Services Administration (Mr Katzoff); and the Battelle Human Affairs Research Centers (Drs Garrison and Wills), Washington, DC. Dr Bowman was formerly director of the Office of Graduate Medical Education, Health Resources Administration.


Footnotes

Reprint requests to Georgetown University Medical Center, 3800 Reservoir Rd NW, Washington, DC 20007 (Dr Bowman).



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