Context Many Medicare beneficiaries enroll in managed care health plans to obtain outpatient drug benefits. Increasing pharmaceutical utilization and costs and decreasing drug benefits increase the likelihood that medication use by such enrollees will exceed drug benefits, which may lead to health plan disenrollment.
Objective To test the hypothesis that exhaustion of managed care drug benefits by Medicare beneficiaries is associated with disenrollment from the health plan.
Design Retrospective cohort study followed up for 1 year (1998) using an enrollment/claims database.
Setting Four geographically diverse network-model health plans that had annual drug benefits of $300, $500, $600, or $1000.
Participants A total of 61,412 elderly Medicare beneficiaries.
Main Outcome Measure Voluntary disenrollment from health plans by members who did or did not exhaust their drug benefits.
Results The likelihood of exhausting 1998 drug benefits ranged from 17% to 25% across health plans (P<.001). The relative hazards of disenrollment from the 4 plans when drug benefits had been exhausted were 2.5 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.3-2.8), 1.9 (95% CI, 1.7-2.1), 2.7 (95% CI, 2.0-3.6), and 2.1 (95% CI, 1.9-2.4). Statistical adjustments for age, sex, prior enrollment, hospital admissions, physician visits, and county of residence did not alter these estimates.
Conclusions Exhaustion of drug benefits was associated with a significant increase in the likelihood of disenrollment of Medicare beneficiaries. This finding arouses concern that Medicare beneficiaries must change plans to have financial access to medications, which can lead to discontinuity in care and diversion of resources from care to administrative matters. Policymakers should strive to avoid fragmented systems of providing drug benefits.
