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  Vol. 293 No. 3, January 19, 2005 TABLE OF CONTENTS
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Effect of Estrogen Therapy on Gallbladder Disease

Dominic J. Cirillo, BS; Robert B. Wallace, MD, MSc; Rebecca J. Rodabough, MS; Philip Greenland, MD; Andrea Z. LaCroix, PhD; Marian C. Limacher, MD; Joseph C. Larson, MS

JAMA. 2005;293:330-339.

Context  Estrogen therapy is thought to promote gallstone formation and cholecystitis but most data derive from observational studies rather than randomized trials.

Objective  To determine the effect of estrogen therapy in healthy postmenopausal women on gallbladder disease outcomes.

Design, Setting, and Participants  Two randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials conducted at 40 US clinical centers. The volunteer sample was 22 579 community-dwelling women aged 50 to 79 years without prior cholecystectomy.

Intervention  Women with hysterectomy were randomized to 0.625 mg/d of conjugated equine estrogens (CEE) or placebo (n = 8376). Women without hysterectomy were randomized to estrogen plus progestin (E + P), given as CEE plus 2.5 mg/d of medroxyprogesterone acetate (n = 14 203).

Main Outcome Measures  Participants reported hospitalizations for gallbladder diseases and gallbladder-related procedures, with events ascertained through medical record review. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using intention-to-treat and time-to-event methods.

Results  The CEE and the E + P groups were similar to their respective placebo groups at baseline. The mean follow-up times were 7.1 years and 5.6 years for the CEE and the E + P trials, respectively. The annual incidence rate for any gallbladder event was 78 events per 10 000 person-years for the CEE group (vs 47/10 000 person-years for placebo) and 55 per 10 000 person-years for E + P (vs 35/10 000 person-years for placebo). Both trials showed greater risk of any gallbladder disease or surgery with estrogen (CEE: HR, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.35-2.06; E + P: HR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.28-1.97). Both trials indicated a higher risk for cholecystitis (CEE: HR, 1.80; 95% CI, 1.42-2.28; E + P: HR, 1.54; 95% CI 1.22-1.94); and for cholelithiasis (CEE: HR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.48-2.35; E + P: HR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.34-2.11) for estrogen users. Also, women undergoing estrogen therapy were more likely to receive cholecystectomy (CEE: HR, 1.93; 95% CI, 1.52-2.44; E + P: HR, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.32-2.11), but not other biliary tract surgery (CEE: HR, 1.18; 95% CI, 0.68-2.04; E + P: HR, 1.49; 95% CI, 0.78-2.84).

Conclusions  These data suggest an increase in risk of biliary tract disease among postmenopausal women using estrogen therapy. The morbidity and cost associated with these outcomes may need to be considered in decisions regarding the use of estrogen therapy.


Author Affiliations: Department of Epidemiology, College of Public Health (Mr Cirillo and Dr Wallace), Department of Internal Medicine, Carver College of Medicine (Dr Wallace), University of Iowa, Iowa City; Division of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Wash (Ms Rodabough, Dr LaCroix, and Mr Larson); Departments of Preventive Medicine and Medicine, Feinberg School of Medicine at Northwestern University, Chicago, Ill (Dr Greenland); and Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Florida College of Medicine, Gainesville (Dr Limacher).



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