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Joan Stephenson, PhD

JAMA. 2002;288:301-302.

	Since this article does not have an abstract, we have provided the first 150 words of the full text and any section headings.

When public health experts attempt to forecast what the state of the global HIV/AIDS pandemic will be at the end of the decade, they see two alternate futures—with 29 million lives hanging in the balance. In one scenario, the world continues to deploy prevention measures in a relatively piecemeal fashion, reaching only one in five people who are at risk of infection. In the other scenario, the global community engages in a massive scaling up of prevention activities, an effort that proponents say could reduce cumulative new infections by more than 60% by 2010.

Both scripts are based on projections by an international group of researchers, published in the July 6, 2002, issue of The Lancet. The script with the more favorable outcome is one proposed by a new report, Global Mobilization for HIV Prevention: A Blueprint for Action, by the Global HIV Prevention Working . . . [Full Text of this Article]