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Consequences of an Oversupply of SpecialistsThe Case of Neurology
Matthew Menken, MD;
Cecil G. Sheps, MD, MPH
JAMA. 1985;253(13):1926-1928.
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| Since this article does not have an abstract, we have provided the first 150 words of the full text PDF and any section headings. |
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DURING the past 15 years, there has been a large increase in the number of active physicians in the United States. Between 1965 and 1980, a 55.8% increase occurred, which represented a change in physician density from 140 to 195 per 100,000 population.1 Large increases also occurred among nonphysician health professionals. In the years ahead, further large increases in the number of health professionals in the United States may be expected, as medical students and postgraduate trainees enter practice. A number of factors are likely to increase the demand for physicians' services during the next few decades, such as the growth and aging of the population and improvements in health technology and changes in the ways medical care is organized and financed, among others. However, a consensus is emerging that by the year 2000, the supply of physicians will be in substantial excess of requirements in the United States. The
. . . [Full Text PDF of this Article]
Author Affiliations
From the Department of Neurology, University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey, Rutgers Medical School, Piscataway (Dr Menken), and the Department of Social and Administrative Medicine, School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (Dr Sheps).
Footnotes
Based on a presentation at the World Federation of Public Health Associations, IV International Congress, Tel Aviv, Israel, Feb 22, 1984.
Reprint requests to Suite 1500, 1527 Highway #27, Somerset, NJ 08873 (Dr Menken).
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