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Predicting Aminoglycoside Nephrotoxicity
Richard D. Moore, MD;
Craig R. Smith, MD;
Paul S. Lietman, MD, PhD
The Johns Hopkins Hospital Baltimore
JAMA. 1986;256(7):864-865.
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To the Editor.—
We wish to offer several comments concerning the publication by Lam and collegues.1
- Since publication of our study,2 we have applied our discriminant function prospectively to 143 sequential medical and surgical patients (no exclusions) hospitalized at Johns Hopkins. Plots of the distributions of the discriminant sums and the associated probabilities of nephrotoxicity for the patients who did and did not develop nephrotoxicity are shown in Fig 1. Using these data, the sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values of our discriminant function can be determined for any selected classification cutoff point. For example, using a cutoff point of 0.75 (0.25 probability) to define a positive test result, the following table is generated:
Thus, the sensitivity is 73% (11/15), the specificity is 84% (108/128), the predictive value of a positive test result is 36% (11/31), and the predictive value of a negative test result is 96% (108/112).
We have shown in a separate patient
. . . [Full Text PDF of this Article]
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