This Article  • References  • Full text PDF  • Send to a friend  • Save in My Folder  • Save to citation manager  • Permissions  Citing Articles  • Citing articles on HighWire  • Citing articles on Web of Science (9)  • Contact me when this article is cited  Related Content  • Similar articles in JAMA  Social Bookmarking   What's this?

Meade Morgan, PhD; James W. Curran, MD, MPH; Ruth L. Berkelman, MD

JAMA. 1990;263(11):1539-1540.

	Since this article does not have an abstract, we have provided the first 150 words of the full text PDF and any section headings.

In recent years, many individuals have developed models to predict the future course of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)/acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) epidemic at the local, state, and national levels. The number of forecasters and resulting projections reflects not only the complexity and uncertainties in predicting the epidemic, but also the critical importance of such estimates.¹ Many health care policies are based on these forecasts, which influence the scope and direction of both public and private initiatives related to HIV.

Overall, the number of reported cases of AIDS in the United States continues to increase. During 1989, 35 238 cases were reported, for a yearly increase of 9.4% over the 32 196 cases reported during 1988. This increase is lower than in past years, partly because of the large number of previously diagnosed cases reported in 1988 that met only the expanded AIDS case definition.² However, even after . . . [Full Text PDF of this Article]

Author Affiliations
From the Division of HIV/AIDS, Centers for Disease Control, Atlanta, Ga.

Footnotes
Reprint requests to Division of HIV/AIDS (G-29), Centers for Disease Control, 1600 Clifton Rd NE, Atlanta, GA 30333 (Dr Curran).

CiteULike    Connotea    Del.icio.us    Digg    Reddit    Technorati    Twitter     What's this?