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The Negative Side of Cost-effectiveness Analysis
Aaron A. Stinnett, PhD
Johnson & Johnson Raritan, NJ
John Mullahy, PhD
University of Wisconsin-Madison Medical School
JAMA. 1997;277(24):1931-1932.
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| Since this article does not have an abstract, we have provided the first 150 words of the full text PDF and any section headings. |
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To the Editor.
—We agree with Drs Sacristán and Obenchain1 that careful analysis of uncertainty is an essential element of sound pharmacoeconomic evaluations. However, their suggestion that a confidence interval (CI) should be reported for the cost-effectiveness (C/E) ratio of an intervention having a significant probability of a negative C/E ratio may prove problematic in applications.
Most troubling is the fact that the magnitude of a negative C/E ratio—defined as the ratio of incremental cost (AC) to incremental effectiveness ( E)—conveys no useful information. For example, it is clear that an estimate of AC =-100, E =100 is more favorable than an estimate of AC =-100, E=50, which in turn is more favorable than an estimate of AC=-50, E=50. However, this implies that a C/E ratio of-1 (-100/100) is preferable to a ratio of -2 (-100/50), and yet a ratio of-2 (-100/50) is preferable to a ratio of -1 (-50/50).
. . . [Full Text PDF of this Article]
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