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Letters
JAMA. 2009;302(19):2089-2090. doi: 10.1001/jama.2009.1637

Biomarkers for Prediction of Cardiovascular Events

  1. Robert S. Rosenstein, MD robert.rosenstein@va.gov;
  2. David Parra, PharmDVeterans Affairs Medical Center West Palm BeachWest Palm Beach, Florida

Since this article does not have an abstract, we have provided the first 150 words of the full text.

To the Editor: Dr Melander and colleagues1 studied the use of novel and conventional biomarkers for prediction of cardiovascular events. Although they concluded that the gains of selected biomarkers over conventional risk factors are minimal, an important strategy has not yet been fully explored.

When assessing the value of a biomarker within a well-calibrated system, the C statistic of the receiver operating characteristic curve is used to evaluate its potential incremental benefit over other risk factors or panels. In the study by Melander et al, as well as in past studies,2 the results of this approach have been disappointing because of the very modest improvement compared with most traditional risk markers. The more correlated a novel marker is with traditional risk factors, the less its addition may improve discrimination.3

A proof-of-concept study of a new approach4 suggests that it may be possible to develop a signature …

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